AroniSmartInvest in Action

Year 2022 is ending. During the year, the stock market has  experienced major dynamics, mostly with historical randomness and a downtrend rollercoaster.  The major upbeats sentiments and performance observed in 2021 were almost washed out. The main drivers have been inflation, Federal Reserve interest rates actions, international politics, including the war in Ukraine and the dynamics in the Chinese economy and US economic policies.  In early Q4 2022, the stocks rose, in anticipation of a softening inflation following the rise in interest rates, some positive earnings ahead and softening worries of recession.  But the volatility has remained high,  driven by continued worries of recession and recent dynamics in tech companies, including layoffs, persistent inflation in some sectors, and slowing down growth in others. The S&P 500, DOW, NASDAQ, Russell 2000, Crude Oil,  Silver, Treasury Yield, Gold all have been impacted and went though major volatilities. Hence the picture of the year,  as the year is ending  has been historic: a widespread volatility and growing fears after a fueled momentum over 2021. As highlighted in several analyses, major questions coming from investors  and users leveraging AroniSmartIntelligence™ and AroniSmartInvest™ capabilities remain focused on the findings from analyzing the connection among the key Stock market indices, especially NASDAQ Dow Jones(DJI), S&P 500, Russell 2000, Gold,  Silver, Treasury Yield and Oil and some key stocks, generating some meaningful trends. Based on these questions,  AroniSmart™ team, has continued to leverage the advanced analytics tools to analyze the trends of the key market indices  and a few selected stocks across some sectors, such as Technology, Finance, Retail, Healthcare, and others  as the year 2022 ends.  The key findings are captured in this article.

On April 2, 2021, the stock market remains volatile but with increasing positivity.  Unlike the volatility dynamics  observed in March and February 2021,  (see some dynamics here: AroniSmartInvest™ in Action: Key Stocks on Wild February 23, 2021; Machine Learning, Bayesian Network, Stock Segmentation, Market Sentiment Analyses and here: AroniSmartInvest™ in Action: Key Stocks on March 3, 2021; Machine Learning, Bayesian Network, Stock Segmentation, Market Sentiment Analyses), there are major positive signs at the start of Q2 2021.  It appears that the factors behind the observed volatility are becoming clearer and clearer. These factors continue to include  speculative considerations on the economy, profit taking,  increasing bonds prices,  options trading, political negotiations, and news about some key stocks, especially those related to Electic Vehicules (EV) Technology.  

On March 3, 2021, the stock market continues to experience volatility similar to what was observed in February 2021 (see some dynamics here: AroniSmartInvest™ in Action: Key Stocks on Wild February 23, 2021; Machine Learning, Bayesian Network, Stock Segmentation, Market Sentiment Analyses) when the stock went on unpredictable drives and experienced  wild days, apparently from a mix of speculative considerations, profit taking,  increasing bonds prices,  options trading, political negotiations, and news about some key stocks, especially those related to Electic Vehicules (EV), Technology. Several   being impacted by unexplained or somewhat speculative actions. 

On March 3, the key stock market indices continued to register losses ( Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.4%, Nasdaq 2.7 %, S&P 500 1.3%). AroniSmart™ team, leveraging the Machine Learning, Big Data ,Bayesian Network Analysis, Neural Network Analysis, Text Analytics, and Sentiment and Valence Analysis capabilities of the new improved  AroniSmartInvest™,  looked at the stock performance, market sentiment index and events driving the stock market in early March  2021 ( For More on AroniSoft LLC and AroniSmart products click here). 

On February 23,  2021, the stock market went on a drive and experienced a wild day, with the stock market rally for the Nasdaq and some key stocks, related to Electic Vehicules (EV),  being impacted by unexplained or somewhat speculative actions. The stocks highly impacted  include Tesla (TSLA),  China EV rivals Nio (NIO) and WorkHorse Group (WKHS), the Bitcoin, Upwork (UPWK), Disney (DIS),  Apple (AAPL), MicroSoft (MSFT),  JPMorgan Chase (JPM)  and others. The Nasdaq fell more than 3% intraday, to finally rally back to a modest loss. AroniSmart™ team, leveraging the Machine Learning, Big Data ,Bayesian Network Analysis, Neural Network Analysis, Text Analytics, and Sentiment and Valence Analysis capabilities of the new improved  AroniSmartInvest™,  looked at the stock performance, market sentiment index and events driving the stock market in February 2021 ( For More on AroniSoft LLC and AroniSmart products click here). 

On February 9,  2021,  AroniSmart™ team, leveraging the Machine Learning, Big Data, Bayesian Network Analysis, Neural Network Analysis, Text Analytics, and Sentiment and Valence Analysis capabilities of the new improved  AroniSmartInvest™,  looked at the stock performance, market sentiment index and events driving the stock market in February 2021.  The analysis was done in preparation of the upcoming lauch of the new improved version of AroniSmartInvest. The new version of AroniSmartInvest, soon available on Apple's App Store™,  will include modules and capabilities to help users and investors to personnaly conduct such analyses.  With this analysis, AroniSmart™ team  highlights below the key findings on the dynamics in February 2021, Q1 2021 and most likely over the year 2021.

On January 9,  2021,  AroniSmart™ team, leveraging the Machine Learning, Big Data Bayesian Network Analysis, Neural Network Analysis, Text Analytics, and Sentiment and Valence Analysis capabilities of the new improved  AroniSmartInvest™,  looked at the stock performance, market sentiment index and events driving the stock market at the  beginning of  Q1 2021.  The analysis was done in preparation of the upcoming lauch of the new improved version of AroniSmartInvest. The new version of AroniSmartInvest, soon available on Apple's App Store™ will include modules and capabilities to help users and investors to personnaly conduct such analyses  With this analysis, AroniSmart™ team  highlights below the key findings on the dynamics in Q1 2021 and most likely in the year 2021.

Twitter (TWTR) stock price has been on a strong momentum since the January 2020.  The momentum followed a drop at the of the 2019. Year-to-date, Twitter stock price has risen by 47%.   From  July 2020, Twitter stock price has risen by 47%.  AroniSmart™ team, leveraging the Machine Learning Time Series capabilities  and Dominance Analysis of AroniSmartIntelligence™,  has looked at the trends of TWTR vs other 13  companies and came up with insights and  projections on the dynamics.  

Apple Inc. (NYSE: AAPL) has delivered strong returns in 2019 and 2020. Year-to-date, Apple stock price has risen by 28%.   From  July 2019, Apple stock price has risen by 87%.  AroniSmart™ team, leveraging the Machine Learning Time Series capabilities  and Dominance Analysis of AroniSmartIntelligence™,  has looked at the trends of AAPL vs other 13  companies and came up with insights and  projections on the dynamics.  

In April  2020,  AroniSmart™ team, leveraging the Machine Learning, Text Mining, and Sentiment and Valance Analysis capabilities of AroniSmartIntelligence™,  looked at the market sentiment index and events driving the stock market in early Q2 2020 (see here:AroniSmartIntelligence™ in Action: Market Sentiment and Key Stocks in April 2020 ). From the analysis, key major events and impacted stocks were highlighted. AroniSmart™ analysis showed that despite the marlet coming back from a huge deep since early March 2020, due to COVID-19,  the overall sentiment  is negative, across the board.

In February 2020,  AroniSmart™ team, leveraging the Machine Learning, Text Mining, and Sentiment and Valance Analysis capabilities of AroniSmartLytics™ (AroniSmartIntelligence™),  looked at the market sentiment index and events driving the stock market in early Q1 2020 (see here:ARONISMARTINTELLIGENCE™ IN ACTION: MARKET SENTIMENT AND KEY STOCKS IN FEB 2020 ). From the analysis, key major events and impacted stocks were highlighted. AroniSmart analysis showed that Year 2020 had started with a strong market performance. At the same time, major events were driving the market performance, including upcoming US Presidential elections and the Corona Virus pandemic in China.  Since then, the pandemic due to Corona Virus, known as COVID-19, has spread across the entire World and the  stock market has suffered, almost crashing, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI)  declining by 36% from 29,219 on Feb 20, 2020 to 18,592 on March 23, 2020. Since then, the stock market has been slowly coming back.  AroniSmart team has now looked at the events driving the market sentiment and the overall  stock market performance.

Year 2020 has started with a strong market performance. At the same time, major events are impacting the markets. The major events include US Presidential elections, Corona Virus pandemic in China, and US-China trade relations. In the last 6 months and Year-to-date, US Stock market prices have risen significantly, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average rising 3% YTD and 15% over the last 6 months.  AroniSmart™ team, leveraging the Machine Learning , Text Mining, and Sentiment and Valance Analysis capabilities of AroniSmartLytics™ (AroniSmartIntelligence™),  has looked at the market sentiment index and events driving the stock market in Q1 2020, so far. From the analysis, key major events and impacted stocks have been highlighted. 

On June 26, 2018, AroniSmart™ team, leveraging the Machine Learning Time Series capabilities of AroniSmartLytics™ (AroniSmartIntelligence™),   looked at the trends  Home Depot Inc. (NYSE: HD) and Lowe's Companies Inc. (NYSE: LOW) and came up with projections on the dynamics between the two stocks.  Based on the  analysis, AroniSmart™ team predicted that  Lowe's would be gaining momentum in the near future.

In fact,  by January  2018, Lowe’s  gained 24% over 2017 and reached $107. From late January to May 22, 2018, Lowe's lost most of these gains. However,  the insights from AroniSmartLytics machine learning and  sentiment analysis pointed to  a bounce back. Today, Lowe's has regained all the lost ground  post CEO Marvin Ellison's nomination.