On April 2, 2021, the stock market remains volatile but with increasing positivity. Unlike the volatility dynamics observed in March and February 2021, (see some dynamics here: AroniSmartInvest™ in Action: Key Stocks on Wild February 23, 2021; Machine Learning, Bayesian Network, Stock Segmentation, Market Sentiment Analyses and here: AroniSmartInvest™ in Action: Key Stocks on March 3, 2021; Machine Learning, Bayesian Network, Stock Segmentation, Market Sentiment Analyses), there are major positive signs at the start of Q2 2021. It appears that the factors behind the observed volatility are becoming clearer and clearer. These factors continue to include speculative considerations on the economy, profit taking, increasing bonds prices, options trading, political negotiations, and news about some key stocks, especially those related to Electic Vehicules (EV) Technology.
On April 1, 2021 the key stock market indices continued to register gains ( Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 5.13%, Nasdaq 1.76 %, S&P 500 3.03%). AroniSmart™ team, leveraging the Machine Learning, Big Data ,Bayesian Network Analysis, Neural Network Analysis, Text Analytics, and Sentiment and Valence Analysis capabilities of the new improved AroniSmartInvest™, looked at the stock performance, market sentiment index and events driving the stock market in early March 2021 ( For More on AroniSoft LLC and AroniSmart products click here).
AroniSmart™ team continues to build on earlier analyses in 2021 (AroniSmartInvest™ in Action: Key Stocks on March 3, 2021; Machine Learning, Bayesian Network, Stock Segmentation, Market Sentiment Analyses). AroniSmart™ team's analyses continue to show that the market sentiment remains in the negative territory, as investors appear to continue struggling with uncertainty and volatility.
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A little bit of the insights on the market events and sentiments, from AroniSmart™ team's findings, based on the data as of April 2, 2021.
AroniSmart™ team analyzed the key stories, leveraging the Machine Learning, Big Data Bayesian Network Analysis, Neural Network Analysis, Text Analytics, and Sentiment and Valence Analysis capabilities of AroniSmartInvest™ and AroniSmartIntelligence™ and uncovered actionable insights..
General Market Events and Sentiments
Continuing the March 2021 trend, the Market Sentiment remains below positive across several sectors and sites. Only the news about cryptocurrencies and crowd investments appear to drive sentiment positivity. The sentiment on stock related news remains in negative areas ( average positivity < 50%). The analysis highlights multiple dynamics, for the stock profile, the segmentation of stocks, the market profile and the sentiment in general.
AroniSmartIntelligence™ Analysis of Positive and Negative Sentiment words.
The key stocks tickers, with high overall index in the AroniSmartInvest Tags word cloud and Bayesian Network analysis and , as of April 1, 2021 are shown in the Bayesian Network and Sentiment Analysis below.
From the figure above, it appears the IRS, and Intuit tag are prominent, corresponding to the Tax Filing and Returns period. As expected, Tech and Healthcare stocks and news related word tags remain dominent.
As depicted in the Words Cloud and Tags view above, it was found that the the positivity (see words in green) continues to be driven by words such as health, work, gain, improv, innov, interest, gain, relief, strong, etc. The words cloud points to the improving companies earnings, healthcare, the performance of the stock market, COVID-19 vaccinations, new innovations such as EV and 5G, and the government support to improve economic performance.
The negativity appears to come from the market volatility, COVID-19 virus, sudden news, bonds market and job market, and overal uncertainty on the COVID-19 pandemic new strains and consequences of sudden openning.
AroniSmartInvest™ in Action: Segmentation and Key Stocks Driving the Market Sentiment
The analysis continues to show that the sectors driving the markets remain TECH, EV, Retail, and Healthcare. Also Airline transportation has started to appear with an increasing momentum. In the current analysis, the optimal segmentation has identified 10 segments with different performance, in terms of technicals and fundamentals (see below).
The list of stocks highly impacted on April 2, 2021 have varied since the last analysis, but Apple (AAPL), MicroSoft (MSFT), Johnson & Johnson (J&J) continue to drive the market and appear in the analysis. The Bitcoin and EV stocks also continue to play a major role. The figure below shows the stocks in news in the High Growth Group, accross all the 10 identified segments. The stocks in the High Growth Group mostly mentionned in the news on April 1 & 2, 2021 include ORCL, MSFT, ADP, SAM, ASML, GNRC, VICR, and LSCC.
More detailed analyses, including stock segmentation and profile analysis can be conducted using Big Data, Machine Learning, Time Series and Sentiment Analysis capabilities of AroniSmartInvest and AroniSmartIntelligence™.
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